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The Effect of Social Distancing on the Spread of Disease

Medical Xpress

medicalxpress.com

The number of cases tested positive for COVID-19 initially grew exponentially in China, but then slowed down. Dirk Brockmann, professor at Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin (HU) and project group leader at the Robert Koch-Institut (RKI), and his postdoc Benjamin F. Maier have developed a diffusion model that takes into account the effect of social distancing and other measures to explain this effect. The results of their study have now been published in the online edition of the journal Science.

"An  in case numbers can generally be expected when an infectious disease spreads unhindered," explains Brockmann. "For ...